Labour is on course to win around 484 seats in Thursday’s General Election – more than it did when Tony Blair took office in 1997, according to a poll unveiled 36 hours before voting begins.

Survation pollsters quizzed 34,558 respondents online and by phone between June 15 and July 2, and have said a Labour landslide is “99% certain”.

Prominent Conservative figures look set to lose their seats, including Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, Defence Secretary Grant Shapps and Education Secretary Gillian Keegan.

According to the model, the Conservatives could win between 34 and 99 seats – an average of 64 – while the Liberal Democrats are set to take between 49 and 73 with an average of 61.

Labour’s best-case scenario is a 517-seat victory, with 447 seats at the “lower end” and a 484-seat average.

Mr Sunak is set to keep a seat in the House of Commons, with a 99% win probability in the Richmond and Northallerton seat, North Yorkshire.

Talk's Mike Graham is joined by political commentator Mike Buckley to discuss.

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